규제악재
White House Readies Tariffs for Semis, Pressuring SMH영어 원문
Tariff news plus tech weakness; SMH fell 0.7% with declining participation
첫날 +1.0% · 5일 후 +1.8%
M&A·자금조달악재
SMH Technical Warning, Potential Drop to 513영어 원문
SMH rejected near 50-day MA, technicals suggest potential decline to YTD low of 513.
첫날 +0.6% · 5일 후 +3.1%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-08-29 Failed move at declining 50sma could trigger fast reversal, targets align with YTD VWAP
- 2026-08-31 SMH rejected near 50-day MA, technicals suggest potential decline to YTD low of 513.
기타악재
SMH Shows Technical Weakness; Software Outperforms Relatively영어 원문
Multiple independent traders note SMH below RSI 50 and key averages, ~20% below June highs; IGV/SMH ratio favors software.
첫날 +0.6% · 5일 후 +3.1%
기타호재
SMH Surges 3.1% Post-Earnings, Technicals Confirm Uptrend Over Pullback영어 원문
NVDA earnings beat lifts SMH; technicals show continued strength, reinforcing sector leadership
첫날 -4.1% · 5일 후 -2.4%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-08-18 Semis outpacing software again; NVDA earnings next week seen as potential catalyst or reversal risk
- 2026-08-28 NVDA earnings beat lifts SMH; technicals show continued strength, reinforcing sector leadership
애널리스트
SMH Holds Steady Ahead of NVDA Earnings, Key for Semis Direction영어 원문
With NVDA earnings and PCE due, SMH edges up; focus on whether results confirm sector repair
첫날 -2.4% · 5일 후 +1.8%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-08-24 Key technical level coincides with NVDA report week, drawing multiple analyst views
- 2026-08-27 With NVDA earnings and PCE due, SMH edges up; focus on whether results confirm sector repair
기타악재
SMH Falls Over 4% in Single Day as Semiconductors Sold Off영어 원문
Rising long-end Treasury yields and AI capex/valuation repricing hit high-beta compute and chip chain
첫날 -1.6% · 5일 후 -0.9%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-08-19 Multiple sources confirm sharp decline in semiconductor ETF, bearish sentiment
- 2026-08-19 Rising long-end Treasury yields and AI capex/valuation repricing hit high-beta compute and chip chain
기타악재
SMH Diamond Top Pattern Persists with Lower Rally Highs영어 원문
SMH down 1.5% intraday; technicians reiterate diamond top with lower highs
첫날 +0.6% · 5일 후 -0.6%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-08-11 Multiple independent technical analysts flag weak rebound in semis, suggesting potential further downside
- 2026-08-11 SMH down 1.5% intraday; technicians reiterate diamond top with lower highs
기타
SMH rebounds 2.9% in a day, but technicals remain weak영어 원문
SMH prints bullish reversal candle weekly, still in downtrend; software strengthens, semis lag
첫날 +0.9% · 5일 후 +4.4%
›전개 과정 7회
- 2026-08-01 Daily bounce fails to reverse weakness, still below key MAs, diverging from software
- 2026-08-02 Inflows suggest dip-buying, but technicals remain pressured
- 2026-08-03 Buyers defend 144 EMA; next hurdle at 25 SMA and VAH confluence
- 2026-08-05 SMH up 1.6% but short interest near highs, hedge funds de-grossed, rotation out of tech persists.
- 2026-08-06 Analysts cite strong AI spending and improving technicals for rebound, but momentum peak history suggests downside drift
- 2026-08-07 Intraday bounce of 1.3%, yet still 14% off June 22 record, sentiment cautious.
- 2026-08-08 SMH prints bullish reversal candle weekly, still in downtrend; software strengthens, semis lag
기타
SMH top 5 holdings near half, NVDA 22.11% leads영어 원문
Multiple sources disclose SMH latest weights, top five: NVDA, TSM, AVGO, AMD, MU
첫날 +2.0% · 5일 후 +0.9%
M&A·자금조달악재
Avior Wealth Management Cuts SMH Stake by 83.3% in Q2영어 원문
SEC filing reveals significant reduction, indicating cautious stance among some investors.
첫날 +0.3% · 5일 후 +3.1%
제품
REX Shares Launches 3X Long and -3X Short Semiconductor ETNs on SMH영어 원문
New ETNs offer 3x daily long/short exposure to SMH, adding leveraged tools for semiconductor trading.
첫날 +5.5% · 5일 후 -0.5%
애널리스트악재
SMH bounces to resistance, analyst says not opportunity-rich영어 원문
Diamond top broke Jul 16, tumbled, retraced to resistance; cautious tone
첫날 +0.9% · 5일 후 +4.4%
기타악재
SMH Down 3.7%, Record Volume영어 원문
July 28: SMH fell 3.7%, record volume, $4B darkpool trades
첫날 -3.5% · 5일 후 +8.7%
M&A·자금조달악재
Multiple Institutions Cut SMH Positions in Q1영어 원문
Scotia cut 95.5%, Caxton cut 75.3%, signaling institutional outflow
첫날 -3.5% · 5일 후 +8.7%
M&A·자금조달악재
Bank of Nova Scotia Cuts SMH Stake by 95.5% in Q1영어 원문
Institutional selling signals caution on semis ETF
첫날 -2.3% · 5일 후 -0.6%
기타악재
SMH in falling channel, market health signal flips bearish영어 원문
Multiple independent technicians confirm SMH's sustained weakness; market health signal turned bearish
첫날 -2.3% · 5일 후 -0.6%
기타악재
SMH under pressure intraday; memory names weigh on semis영어 원문
Weak South Korea and memory names pressure SMH; rejection at July value area low
첫날 -3.3% · 5일 후 -3.7%
기타호재
SMH +3.5% on day, DRAM sector +6.3%영어 원문
Multiple sources confirm strong semi ETF rebound, DRAM leads; price action only, no new facts
첫날 +4.5% · 5일 후 -9.3%
M&A·자금조달호재
Multiple Institutions Raised or Initiated SMH Positions in Q1영어 원문
Record July inflows into chip ETFs despite worst monthly drop since 2008; SMH -15.2%
첫날 +0.4% · 5일 후 -1.8%
›전개 과정 2회
- 2026-07-20 Assetmark lifted stake by 25%; Empirical initiated $349K position, showing institutional inflows
- 2026-07-21 Record July inflows into chip ETFs despite worst monthly drop since 2008; SMH -15.2%
기타악재
SMH within 1.5% of 100-day MA, potential test of key support영어 원문
Multiple sources note SMH near 100-day MA, untested since March, historically supportive
첫날 -2.2% · 5일 후 +0.8%
M&A·자금조달악재
Millions in SMH Put Sellers Step In Near Close영어 원문
Millions in SMH put sellers at EOD; coincides with IGV/SMH fwd P/E cross and ASML dip
첫날 -3.7% · 5일 후 +2.0%
애널리스트악재
Semis 'Most Crowded Trade Ever' as SOX Vol Hits 5x SPX영어 원문
BofA calls longs 'most crowded trade ever'; SMH +66.7% YTD; SOX 1-mo vol ~61 vs ~12 for SPX
첫날 -1.6% · 5일 후 -0.7%
